Côte d’Ivoire – L’opposition piégée par sa stratégie du boycott et de la chaise vide
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A l’évidence, les populations ivoiriennes ne répondent pas à l’appel à l’insurrection lancé par l’opposition.
Ni Bédié, ni Affi ne sont en mesure d’empêcher le bon déroulement du processus électoral du 31 octobre 2020. Sans véritable stratégie, sans programme électoral crédible, l’hétéroclite coalition des « Tout sauf Ouattara » est obligée de se réfugier dans le boycott de l’élection présidentielle sur fond de désobéissance civile, tout en demandant à la communauté internationale de se saisir du dossier ivoirien pour empêcher la candidature d’Alassane Ouattara. Le meeting de l’opposition organisé le 10 octobre au stade Félix-Houphouët-Boigny d’Abidjan a montré le visage d’une opposition totalement désorganisée, confrontée, à moins de 15 jours de l’élection présidentielle, à l’échec de son appel à l’insurrection.
Le « Tout sauf Ouattara ! » ne constitue pas le socle suffisant pour donner, à l’opposition, cohérence et crédibilité. Bédié en est réduit à faire appel à la communauté internationale et au Secrétaire général des Nations unies, Antonio Guterres, afin d’empêcher la tenue du scrutin du 31 octobre. D’un côté, la stratégie de l’opposition ne fonctionne pas à l’intérieur du pays, – on ne constate à Abidjan et dans les régions aucun mouvement de protestation et de blocage -, de l’autre, la communauté internationale ne répond pas aux demandes de l’opposition. Imaginant être entendu, Bédié s’est rendu, en quasi secret, à Accra, afin de voir le chef de l’Etat ghanéen, Nana Akufo-Addo, président en exercice de la Cédéao ; il a pu rencontrer, comme tous les acteurs politiques ivoiriens ont pu le faire, la mission conjointe de l’Union africaine, de la Communauté économique des États de l’Afrique de l’Ouest (Cédéao) et de l’ONU qui s’est rendue à Abidjan.
La stratégie de la chaise vide : une erreur politique
En l’absence d’une forte mobilisation populaire et sans aide extérieure, Bédié et Affi ont mis en scène, devant les journalistes, la stratégie du boycott et l’appel à la désobéissance civile, agitant une dernière menace : « Ce sera sans Ouattara ou sans nous ». Cette stratégie de la chaise vide est, pour l’opposition, une erreur politique. L’opposition va-t-elle boycotter les élections législatives qui vont suivre, se privant ainsi de relais politiques sur le terrain ?
Le flottement qui règne dans l’opposition sur la stratégie à adopter conduit Bédié et Pascal Affi N’Guessan à maintenir leur candidature, tout en prévoyant de ne pas faire campagne. C’est une manière de pouvoir contester ensuite les résultats de l’élection présidentielle.
Cette dernière ligne droite avant l’élection présidentielle donne l’avantage au candidat Ouattara pour plusieurs raisons ; d’abord, une coalition hétéroclite d’opposants sans cohérence, sans stratégie claire, sans projet alternatif crédible, avec des opposants qui ont l’habitude de se trahir à la moindre occasion ; ensuite, le bilan de la décennie Ouattara est un bilan positif et le Rhdp est, depuis plusieurs mois, en ordre de marche.
Pour revenir 10 ans en arrière, si Gbagbo avait accepté le résultat de l’élection présidentielle de 2010, s’il avait accepté d’endosser le rôle d’opposant légitime à Ouattara, il serait candidat aujourd’hui et il pouvait jouer sur l’usure du pouvoir qui frappe tous les dirigeants. Quant à Bédié, on comprend bien qu’il veut une revanche sur l’Histoire, après le coup d’Etat de 1999, et une revanche sur Ouattara, qui refuse de lui donner le pouvoir. L’Appel de Daoukro n’avait qu’un seul objectif : permettre à Bédié d’être le candidat unique du Rhdp en 2020, un calcul très politicien. Bédié a-t-il été de 1993 à 1999 un bon président de la République ? N’a-t-il pas durablement divisé les Ivoiriens en installant le concept d’ « ivoirité » ?
Laissons les Ivoiriens voter. Le pouvoir, dans les grandes démocraties modernes, se conquiert dans les urnes. Les Ivoiriens ont toujours préféré les urnes aux armes. La majorité des Ivoiriens n’acceptent pas cette stratégie du boycott ry de la désobéissance civile. Ils y voient un signe de la faiblesse de l’opposition.
Justice Konan
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